2024 Rochdale by-election

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2024 Rochdale by-election
← 2019 29 February 2024 Next →
Rochdale constituency
Turnout39.7% Decrease 20.4 pp
  First party Second party Third party
 
Con
Candidate George Galloway David Tully Paul Ellison
Party Workers Party Independent Conservative
Popular vote 12,335 6,638 3,731
Percentage 39.7% 21.3% 12.0%
Swing New New Decrease 19.2 pp
  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
 
Candidate Azhar Ali[a] Iain Donaldson Simon Danczuk
Party Labour Liberal Democrats Reform UK
Popular vote 2,402 2,164 1,968
Percentage 7.7% 7.0% 6.3%
Swing Decrease 43.9 pp Steady pp Decrease 1.9 pp
Boundary of Rochdale in Greater Manchester
MP before election

Tony Lloyd
Labour

Elected MP

George Galloway
Workers

A by-election took place on 29 February 2024 in the UK Parliament constituency of Rochdale following the death of Labour MP Sir Tony Lloyd.[1][2][3] The winner was George Galloway of the Workers Party of Britain who received 40% of the vote and overturned a 9,668 vote Labour majority at the 2019 general election.[4] The turnout was 39.7%, compared to a 60.1% turnout in the constituency at the last general election.[5]

Constituency

Rochdale is a constituency in the North West region of England, located in the east of Greater Manchester.[6] The constituency is based on the town of the same name.[6]

After the 1997 general election, Rochdale was considered a Labour–Liberal Democrat marginal.[7] This changed when the UK Independence Party finished second in the 2015 general election.[8] In the 2016 European Union membership referendum, Rochdale voted 3:2 in favour of Brexit.[9]

The constituency has above average unemployment and many people living in poverty.[10] British Asians make up 18.5% of the population.[11] Since 1997, the constituency has also included the semi-rural suburb of Littleborough, one of the relatively prosperous areas of the borough. A by-election last took place in this area in 1995, in the former Littleborough and Saddleworth constituency. The Liberal Democrats won the by-election, though Labour won both successor constituencies (the other being Oldham East and Saddleworth) at the 1997 general election. At the last general election in 2019, there was a 60.1% turnout with an electorate of 78,909.[6] Following the 2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies, the composition of the constituency is subject to minor boundary changes at the next general election to bring the electorate within the permitted range, with the Spotland and Falinge ward being transferred to the new constituency of Heywood and Middleton North.[12]

Background

Sir Tony Lloyd served as the MP for Rochdale from 2017 until his death in 2024.

Tony Lloyd was elected Member of Parliament (MP) for the constituency in the 2017 general election, and was re-elected in the 2019 general election.[13] He had previously been a Labour MP between 1983 and 2012,[14] the interim Mayor of Greater Manchester from 2015 to 2017,[15] and Minister of State for Foreign Affairs under Prime Minister Tony Blair from 1997 to 1999.[2][3]

Shortly after his election as MP for Rochdale, Lloyd returned to frontbench politics as Shadow Housing Minister in the Shadow Cabinet of Jeremy Corbyn from 2017 to 2018.[14] He was promoted to Shadow Secretary of State for Northern Ireland in 2018 and became Shadow Secretary of State for Scotland in 2019.[16][17] He was replaced as Shadow Scotland Secretary in the Shadow Cabinet of Keir Starmer but continued as Shadow Northern Ireland Secretary.[18] He resigned from the frontbench in 2020 to recover from COVID-19.[19]

In January 2023, Lloyd announced that he was undergoing chemotherapy after a diagnosis for cancer, and subsequently did not attend parliament or face-to-face functions under medical advice.[20][21] On 11 January 2024, he stated that he had an untreatable form of leukaemia and had decided to end hospital treatment to spend his remaining time with his family.[22][23] His family announced that he had "died peacefully" at home in the morning of 17 January.[2][3][24][25]

On 29 January 2024, the writ was moved in the House of Commons, with the by-election due to take place on 29 February 2024.[26]

Candidates and campaign

Azhar Ali, who had been a candidate for the Westminster seat of Pendle in 2015 and 2019,[27] was selected as the Labour Party candidate on 27 January 2024. He is a Lancashire county councillor and was, at the time of his selection, the leader of the Labour group on the council. He was selected from a shortlist of three, including Westminster lobby journalist Paul Waugh, and Nazia Rehman, a member of Wigan Metropolitan Borough Council and cabinet member.[28] During the campaign, a recording obtained by the Daily Mail, in which he suggested at a meeting that Israel allowed the 7 October offensive to go ahead, in order to "green light" an invasion of Gaza. Upon the recording being made public, Ali retracted his comments and apologised.[29] Following information about other comments made by Ali,[30] Labour withdrew its support on 12 February, and the party announced it would no longer devote resources to his campaign.[31][32] Prior to the withdrawal, Ali had received abuse for Labour's position on Israel, despite his own support for Palestine.[33]

Simon Danczuk was selected as the candidate for Reform UK. Danczuk was the Labour MP for Rochdale from 2010 until 2015, when he was suspended from the party after it emerged he had exchanged explicit messages with a 17-year-old girl.[34] He then sat as an independent until the 2017 election, when he ran for re-election as an independent, but finished in fifth place with 1.8 per cent, losing his deposit.[35] Despite the right-wing orientation of Reform UK, Danczuk campaigned as an "old Labour" candidate with a focus on local issues, rather than what he describes as the "woke" politics of the Labour Party, or the Israel-Palestine conflict.[36][37] According to Reform UK leader Richard Tice, Danczuk and Reform were the subject of violent threats during the campaign, including a threat to firebomb businesses whose owners campaigned for Reform.[38] One man was arrested for malicious communication for threatening Danczuk.[39]

Iain Donaldson was selected as the Liberal Democrat candidate; he is also the party's candidate for the nearby constituency of Blackley and Middleton South at the next general election. He stated that his intention would be to hold the government to account over the NHS, cost of living crisis, and tolerance of water pollution. He received the endorsement of Paul Rowen, the constituency's most recent Liberal Democrat MP. Donaldson was a councillor in Manchester for 19 years, and worked as an administrator at the University of Manchester.[40]

Conservative Party candidate Paul Ellison owns a local landscaping firm. He was named "Man of Rochdale" in 2019 for his involvement with the Royal Horticultural Society's In Bloom campaign.[41][42] His focus was on improving the town centre, reducing antisocial behaviours, and protecting greenery in Rochdale. He expressed concern over Rochdale's negative image.[37]

Former Labour and Respect Party MP George Galloway contested the seat for the Workers Party of Britain.[43] He focused his campaign on support for Gaza. He has been critical of Labour Party leader Keir Starmer's refusal to back a ceasefire in Gaza. The Labour candidate, Azhar Ali, said Galloway's campaign focused on Muslim voters in Rochdale.[37][33][44] Freelance writer and socialist activist Michael Chessum wrote that Galloway's campaign sent out more than one letter to constituents during the campaign. One addressed issues most salient to Muslim voters, in particular focusing on the war in Gaza and using Arabic phrases such as "As-salamu alaykum" and "ummah", while the other highlighted "Galloway’s record of backing Brexit, opposing Scottish independence and supporting family values".[45][46][47][48] On 19 February, a Liberal Democrat candidate for the 2024 Rochdale Metropolitan Borough Council election was suspended by the party after being photographed campaigning with Galloway.[49] Galloway was endorsed by former BNP leader Nick Griffin, which Galloway rejected, describing it as "unwelcome".[50]

Guy Otten was selected as the Green Party candidate. He is a retired solicitor and tribunal judge.[37] On 7 February, after derogatory social media posts on Gaza and the Muslim faith he had made between 2013 and 2015 came to light, the party announced that they were no longer endorsing his candidacy. Otten subsequently said that he had "decided to leave the stage", and would not campaign in the election.[51][52]

There were four independent candidates. The most successful was David Tully (b. 1974), owner of a local vehicle repair shop,[53] who campaigned on various local issues,[54] including the reinstatement of a local maternity ward, and support for local sports teams Rochdale AFC and Rochdale Hornets.[55] He began his independent campaign four weeks before the election and received 6,638 votes, more than the Conservatives and Labour combined.[56][55]

Michael Howarth is a local business owner who owns a number of bars in Rochdale and campaigned on local issues and support for additional NHS funding.[37][57][58] William Howarth campaigned on issues related to the Rochdale child sex abuse ring and child sexual abuse at large, having previously founded the organisation Parents Against Grooming.[37][59] Mark Coleman is a climate change activist and former vicar of Rochdale who campaigned for "radical action on climate".[60] He was jailed in April 2023 for his part in a Just Stop Oil protest in Bishopsgate, London. Despite running as an independent, he had the support of two local Labour Party officers. He formerly ran as a Green Party candidate for council elections in Liverpool.[61] The BBC reported that Green Party activists had been campaigning for Coleman, since their own candidate, Guy Otten, dropped out of the contest.[62]

The Official Monster Raving Loony Party, a joke party that is a perennial contender in by-elections, was on the ballot. Candidate Ravin Rodent Subortna campaigned for the introduction of a 99p coin and the eradication of homelessness amongst hedgehogs.[41][37]

Results

The result marked the first by-election in Great Britain since the 1945 Combined Scottish Universities by-election at which the two best-performing candidates were not from the Conservative, Labour, or Liberal Democrat parties.

Bar chart of the election result.
2024 Rochdale by-election[63]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Workers Party George Galloway 12,335 39.7 N/A
Independent David Tully 6,638 21.3 N/A
Conservative Paul Ellison 3,731 12.0 –19.2
Labour[a] Azhar Ali 2,402 7.7 –43.9
Liberal Democrats Iain Donaldson 2,164 7.0 ±0.0
Reform UK Simon Danczuk 1,968 6.3 –1.9
Independent William Howarth 523 1.7 N/A
Independent Mark Coleman 455 1.5 N/A
Green[b] Guy Otten 436 1.4 –0.7
Independent Michael Howarth 246 0.8 N/A
Monster Raving Loony Ravin Rodent Subortna 209 0.7 N/A
Majority 5,697 18.4 N/A
Turnout 31,107 39.7 –20.4
Registered electors
Workers Party gain from Labour Swing

Previous result

General election 2019: Rochdale[64]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour Tony Lloyd 24,475 51.6 –6.4
Conservative Atifa Shah 14,807 31.2 +2.8
Brexit Party Chris Green 3,867 8.2 N/A
Liberal Democrats Andy Kelly 3,312 7.0 –1.0
Green Sarah Croke 986 2.1 N/A
Majority 9,668 20.4 –9.2
Turnout 47,447 60.1 –4.0
Labour hold Swing –4.6

Reactions

The Israel–Hamas war dominated the campaign. In his election victory speech, Galloway said: "Keir Starmer, this is for Gaza. You will pay a high price for the role that you have played in enabling, encouraging and covering for the catastrophe presently going on in occupied Gaza, in the Gaza Strip".[65][44][66] Alluding to the size of his win, over the Labour and Conservative candidates, he said, "Keir Starmer and Rishi Sunak are two cheeks of the same backside and they both got well and truly spanked tonight here in Rochdale."[67]

During Galloway's victory speech a heckler accused him of being a climate change denier.[68][69] The heckler stated that Galloway said at a hustings that he wanted to "extract oil and gas from the North Sea".[70]

The largest Jewish community organisation in the UK, the Board of Deputies of British Jews, claimed that Galloway's victory marked "a dark day" for Britain's Jewish community.[71]

On 1 March, Prime Minister Rishi Sunak held a press conference outside 10 Downing Street, at which he spoke about what he called the "shocking increase in extremist disruption and criminality" in Britain. During the conference he said, "And it’s beyond alarming that last night, the Rochdale by-election returned a candidate that dismisses the horror of what happened on 7 October, who glorifies Hezbollah and is endorsed by Nick Griffin, the racist former leader of the BNP".[72]

Labour Party Leader Sir Keir Starmer issued an apology to the people of Rochdale, saying, "I regret we had to withdraw our candidate, and apologise to voters in Rochdale. I took that decision. It was the right decision." He stated that Labour's candidate in the next general election would be a "unifier".[73]

Reform UK performed worse than its Brexit Party counterpart in 2019, although Danczuk did win enough votes to retain his deposit, unlike his run as an independent in 2017. Richard Tice, leader of Reform UK, alleged that the election was rigged and said that Danczuk had received several threats during the campaign.[74]

See also

Notes

  1. ^ a b Ali was suspended from the Labour Party on 12 February 2024, after nominations closed (2 February), so he was still identified as the Labour Party candidate on the ballot paper.[31]
  2. ^ The Green Party withdrew Otten's endorsement on 7 February 2024, after nominations closed (2 February), so he was still identified as the Green Party candidate on the ballot paper.[51]

References

  1. ^ "Rochdale WILL have a by-election after MP's death as next general election not expected until second half of 2024". Rochdale Online. Retrieved 23 January 2024.
  2. ^ a b c "Sir Tony Lloyd: Veteran Labour MP for Rochdale dies aged 73". Sky News. Retrieved 17 January 2024.
  3. ^ a b c "Labour MP Sir Tony Lloyd dies 'peacefully at home'". BBC News. 17 January 2024. Retrieved 17 January 2024.
  4. ^ "George Galloway wins the Rochdale by-election". BBC News. 1 March 2024. Retrieved 1 March 2024.
  5. ^ "Rochdale by-election: George Galloway overturns 9,500 Labour majority to win seat". ITV News. 1 March 2024. Retrieved 1 March 2024.
  6. ^ a b c "Seat Details – Rochdale". Electoral Calculus. Retrieved 17 January 2024.
  7. ^ "VOTE 2001 | Results & Constituencies | Rochdale". BBC News. Retrieved 17 January 2024.
  8. ^ "Rochdale parliamentary constituency – Election 2019". BBC News. Retrieved 17 January 2024.
  9. ^ Statham, Nick (24 June 2016). "EU referendum: Rochdale votes to leave". Manchester Evening News. Retrieved 17 January 2024.
  10. ^ McKeegan, Alice (18 September 2009). "Rochdale unemployment hits 6 per cent". Manchester Evening News. Retrieved 17 January 2024.
  11. ^ "How life has changed in Rochdale: Census 2021". ONS. 2021. Retrieved 17 January 2024.
  12. ^ "The Parliamentary Constituencies Order 2023". Schedule 1 Part 5 North West region.
  13. ^ "Labour MP Sir Tony Lloyd dies days after announcing terminal cancer diagnosis". The Independent. 17 January 2024. Retrieved 17 January 2024.
  14. ^ a b "Parliamentary career for Tony Lloyd". parliament.uk. Retrieved 18 January 2024.
  15. ^ Perraudin, Frances (11 February 2016). "Labour's Tony Lloyd announces Greater Manchester mayoral bid". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved 18 January 2024.
  16. ^ "Jeremy Corbyn sacks Labour's Owen Smith over referendum call". BBC News. 23 March 2018. Retrieved 18 January 2024.
  17. ^ "Labour MP for Rochdale announced new shadow Secretary for Scotland". The National. 19 December 2019. Retrieved 18 January 2024.
  18. ^ Syal, Rajeev; McIntyre, Niamh; Duncan, Pamela; Barr, Caelainn (6 April 2020). "Ed Miliband returns to Labour frontbench in Keir Starmer reshuffle". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved 18 January 2024.
  19. ^ Abbit, Beth (28 April 2020). "Rochdale MP Tony Lloyd steps down from front bench after spell in ICU". Manchester Evening News. Retrieved 18 January 2024.
  20. ^ "Rochdale MP Tony Lloyd reveals chemotherapy treatment after diagnosis". BBC News. 16 January 2023. Retrieved 18 January 2024.
  21. ^ "Sir Tony Lloyd to hold advice surgeries via telephone or Zoom as MP undergoes chemotherapy". Rochdale Online. Retrieved 18 January 2024.
  22. ^ Scott, Jennifer (11 January 2024). "Veteran Labour MP Sir Tony Lloyd says he has untreatable form of leukaemia". Sky News. Retrieved 3 March 2024.
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  25. ^ Barton, Alex (17 January 2024). "Sir Tony Lloyd, Rochdale Labour MP, dies 'peacefully at home' aged 73". The Telegraph. ISSN 0307-1235. Retrieved 17 January 2024.
  26. ^ "A message from the family of the late Sir Tony Lloyd MP". Twitter. @tony4rochdale. 29 January 2024. Retrieved 29 January 2024.
  27. ^ Khan, Shuiab (27 January 2024). "Brierfield's Azhar Ali announced as Labour candidate for Rochdale". Lancashire Telegraph. Archived from the original on 28 January 2024. Retrieved 28 January 2024.
  28. ^ Wilkinson, Damon (27 January 2024). "Labour choose Lancashire council leader to fight Rochdale by-election following death of Sir Tony Lloyd". Manchester Evening News. Retrieved 27 January 2024.
  29. ^ "Labour candidate 'wrong' to say Israel allowed 7 October attack – but will still stand in by-election". Sky News. Retrieved 11 February 2024.
  30. ^ Mitchell, Archie; Devlin, Kate (13 February 2024). "Revealed: Leaked audio of Labour Rochdale candidate Azhar Ali's anti-Israel comments". The Independent. Retrieved 13 February 2024.
  31. ^ a b "Labour withdraws support for Rochdale candidate". BBC. 12 February 2024. Retrieved 12 February 2024.
  32. ^ Courea, Eleni; Adu, Aletha (12 February 2024). "Labour withdraws support for Rochdale candidate after Israel-Gaza remarks". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved 12 February 2024.
  33. ^ a b Pidd, Helen (11 February 2024). "'The ultimate protest against Labour': George Galloway's bid to win Rochdale". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved 12 February 2024.
  34. ^ "Danczuk on sexting: 'I was in a dark place'". BBC News. Retrieved 1 February 2024.
  35. ^ "Rochdale parliamentary constituency – Election 2019 – BBC News". Retrieved 1 February 2024.
  36. ^ Hayward, Freddie (12 May 2023). "Who supports Reform UK?". New Statesman. Retrieved 13 February 2024.
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  38. ^ Timan, Joseph (1 March 2024). "Reform say Rochdale by-election was not 'free and fair' amid death threat claim". Manchester Evening News.
  39. ^ "Man arrested after Rochdale by-election candidate receives alleged 'serious death threats'". ITV. 27 February 2024.
  40. ^ "Rochdale by-election: Lib Dem candidate Iain Donaldson launches campaign". www.rochdaleonline.co.uk. Retrieved 12 February 2024.
  41. ^ a b "Rochdale by-election: Candidates list". BBC News. 12 February 2024. Retrieved 13 February 2024.
  42. ^ "Paul Ellison and Ray Smith – Man of Rochdale 2019 joint winners". Rochdale Online. 22 November 2019. Retrieved 13 February 2024.
  43. ^ Morgan, William (27 January 2024). "George Galloway throws his hat into the ring for Rochdale by-election to 'teach Labour a lesson'". Manchester Evening News. Retrieved 27 January 2024.
  44. ^ a b "Residents of Rochdale caught up in increasingly toxic by-election campaign". Financial Times. Retrieved 13 February 2024.
  45. ^ Chessum, Michael (3 March 2024). "Writing off George Galloway ignores his dangerous appeal to both far left and right". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved 9 March 2024.
  46. ^ "George Galloway wins divisive Rochdale by-election". www.ft.com. Retrieved 9 March 2024.
  47. ^ Reporter, J. N. "Galloway leaflets Muslim voters in Rochdale with false Starmer Israel claim". www.jewishnews.co.uk. Retrieved 9 March 2024.
  48. ^ Jones, Tom Belger, Morgan (1 March 2024). "Rochdale by-election: Results breakdown and analysis as George Galloway says 'this is for Gaza'". LabourList. Retrieved 9 March 2024.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  49. ^ "Lib Dems suspend Rochdale council candidate after LBC reveal he was campaigning for George Galloway". LBC. Retrieved 19 February 2024.
  50. ^ "'Macho' all-male Rochdale by-election fuels political divisions over Gaza".
  51. ^ a b Lythgoe, George (7 February 2024). "Rochdale by-election: Green Party candidate no longer endorsed by party just weeks before voters go to the polls". Rochdale Online. Retrieved 12 February 2024.
  52. ^ Chakelian, Anoosh (21 February 2024). "Rochdale's by-election brings the Gaza war to Britain". New Statesman. Retrieved 17 March 2024.
  53. ^ "The vehicle repair shop owner who came second in Rochdale by-election". 1 March 2024 – via www.bbc.co.uk.
  54. ^ "Rochdale By-Election 2024: David Tully". www.rochdaleonline.co.uk. Retrieved 13 February 2024.
  55. ^ a b "David Tully: Who is the surprise dark horse of the Rochdale by-election?". Mancunian Matters. 1 March 2024. Retrieved 1 March 2024.
  56. ^ "Rochdale by-election: independent David Tully reveals local reasons behind decision to stand for MP". www.rochdaleonline.co.uk.
  57. ^ "Vicolo del Vino – bottoms up at Rochdale's new wine cellar". www.rochdaleonline.co.uk. Retrieved 13 February 2024.
  58. ^ "Rochdale By-Election 2024: Michael Howarth". www.rochdaleonline.co.uk. Retrieved 12 February 2024.
  59. ^ "Rochdale By-Election 2024: William Howarth". www.rochdaleonline.co.uk. Retrieved 12 February 2024.
  60. ^ "Rochdale By-Election 2024: Mark Coleman". www.rochdaleonline.co.uk. Retrieved 13 February 2024.
  61. ^ "Twice jailed Just Stop Oil supporter Mark Coleman to stand in parliamentary by-election". www.rochdaleonline.co.uk. Retrieved 13 February 2024.
  62. ^ Wheeler, Brian (24 February 2024). "Rochdale: Is this the most chaotic by-election ever?". BBC News. Retrieved 26 February 2024.
  63. ^ Council, Rochdale Metropolitan Borough (29 February 2024). "Election results for Rochdale, 29 February 2024". democracy.rochdale.gov.uk.
  64. ^ "Statement of persons nominated" (PDF). Rochdale Borough Council. 14 November 2019. Archived from the original (PDF) on 16 November 2019.
  65. ^ Halliday, Josh; Ahmed, Aneesa (1 March 2024). "George Galloway wins sweeping victory in Rochdale byelection, saying 'this is for Gaza'". The Guardian. Retrieved 1 March 2024.
  66. ^ Halliday, Josh; Ahmed, Aneesa (1 March 2024). "George Galloway wins Rochdale byelection after calling for Gaza protest vote". The Guardian. Retrieved 1 March 2024.
  67. ^ "Rochdale by-election: Landslide win for George Galloway". 1 March 2024 – via www.bbc.co.uk.
  68. ^ "Rochdale: George Galloway heckled on climate during winning speech". BBC News. 1 March 2024. Retrieved 3 March 2024.
  69. ^ "Moment climate protestor disrupts George Galloway by-election victory speech". The Independent. 1 March 2024. Retrieved 3 March 2024.
  70. ^ "Watch: Galloway heckled by Just Stop Oil during victory speech". The Spectator. 1 March 2024. Retrieved 3 March 2024.
  71. ^ "Veteran British left-wing disruptor George Galloway wins a special election dominated by war in Gaza". The Independent. 1 March 2024. Retrieved 3 March 2024.
  72. ^ "PM rails against 'extremist forces trying to tear us apart' in Downing Street address". Sky News. 2 March 2024. Retrieved 3 March 2024.
  73. ^ "Rochdale by-election: Keir Starmer apologises to voters after George Galloway win". BBC News. BBC News. Retrieved 1 March 2024.
  74. ^ Timan, Joseph (1 March 2024). "Reform say Rochdale by-election was not 'free and fair' after death threat claim". Manchester Evening News. Retrieved 2 March 2024.
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