Transition Integrity Project 2024

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Transition Integrity Project 2024
Formation2024
TypeSeries of June 2024 academic exercises
PurposeTo identify risks to a free, fair and peaceful 2024 election
Location
  • United States
MethodsAcademic exercises
Key people
Websitewww.heritage.org/the-oversight-project/election-integrity/transition-integrity-project/

The Transition Integrity Project 2024 (TIP) was an academic exercise in the United States executed in June 2024 and involved some 50 current and former senior government and campaign leaders, academics, journalists, military officers, former federal and state government officials. The exercise ran two scenarios to discern potential disruptions to the 2024 presidential election and transition.[1]

Background

The 2024 Transition Integrity Project (TIP 2024) is a short-term project launched by Mike Howell of The Heritage Foundation’s Oversight Project, Adam Ellwanger of the University of Houston–Downtown, and Chuck DeVore of the Texas Public Policy Foundation. TIP 2024 conducted a variety of scenario-based exercises aimed at identifying potential risks to the integrity of the 2024 election and the transition process.

TIP’s goal is to ensure that the 2024 presidential election is fair, legal, and peaceful, and that the outcome of the election is accepted by citizens as legitimate. By identifying potential threats to a fair election and a legal transition, the project lays the groundwork for constitutionally committed parties to safeguard the integrity of the process.

The exercises were held in June 2024. In July, the 2024 Transition Integrity Project issued a public report [2]containing observations and recommendations for ensuring a smooth transition in the aftermath of the election depending on its outcome.

The project's rollout at the Heritage Foundation on July 11 was livestreamed.[3]

Predictions

One of the two scenarios ran by TIP 2024 foresaw the Iranian regime conducting an underground test of a nuclear device.[4] A month after the exercise was run and eight days after the report was release, U.S. Secretary of state Antony Blinken announced that Iran's nuclear breakout time “is now probably one or two weeks.”[5]

Media Coverage

Media coverage of TIP 2024 was largely negative and skeptical.[6][7][8]

  1. ^ "Election 2024: What's the Worst That Can Happen?". realclearpolitics.com. Retrieved July 19, 2024.
  2. ^ Anticipating Election Disruptions to Ensure a Safe Transition of Presidential Power (PDF) (Report). July 11, 2024. Retrieved July 19, 2024.
  3. ^ Transition Integrity Project 2024. July 11, 2024. Retrieved July 19, 2024.
  4. ^ Anticipating Election Disruptions to Ensure a Safe Transition of Presidential Power, Page 10 (PDF) (Report). July 11, 2024. Retrieved July 19, 2024.
  5. ^ "Blinken says Iran's nuclear weapon breakout time is probably down to 1-2 weeks". CNN.com. Retrieved July 19, 2024.
  6. ^ "Conservative group behind Project 2025 floats conspiracy idea that Biden could retain power by force". apnews.com. Retrieved July 19, 2024.
  7. ^ "Trump allies at Heritage declare 2024 election illegitimate in advance". washingtonpost.com. Retrieved July 19, 2024.
  8. ^ "Heritage's 'simulation' of the 2024 election was deeply flawed". MSNBC.com. Retrieved July 19, 2024.
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