Talk:Hartville, Missouri

Imminent US Census Bureau 2020 Centroid Determination

I'm excited to know that the US Census Bureau is about to release its 2020 US Population Centroid location.

I believe that this data release will be notable because it will show an historic slowdown in centroid movement, probably the slowest since the 1910-1920 period as an aging population, ongoing economic difficulties, and the impact of the pandemic work to reduce both the means and reason for Americans to move.

Using a method validated in predicting the location of the 2010 US population center, my estimation for the location of the 2020 centroid is: 37.410844 N; 92.364605 W.

This position is 12.83 miles/20.65 kilometers southwest of the 2010 centroid.

This spot is located in Wright County, MO, about 10 miles southwest of Plato, MO and 13.63 miles northeast of Hartville, MO. It remains closer to Plato than Hartville, but I’m thinking that the Bureau may opt to name Hartville the center given its symbolic name. We’ll see soon.

Judging from past performance, this estimate should be within a mile or two of the official position (that’s the best I can do because I’m working with state-level data). I’ll inform exactly how far off once the Census calculation is released.

Best,

Alex.zakrewsky (talk) 19:18, 29 September 2021 (UTC)