Polymarket

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Polymarket
Developer(s)Shayne Coplan
PlatformEthereum
Available inEnglish
TypePrediction Market Platform
LicenseFree software (GPL)
Websitepolymarket.com

Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market platform that allows users to place bets on world events. Users buy and sell shares using cryptocurrency to bet on the likelihood of future events taking place.

History

Polymarket was founded by Shayne Coplan[1] in 2020 as an online prediction market platform that would allow users to trade on the outcome of world events.[2]

In January 2022, the platform was fined US$1.4 million by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, alongside receiving a cease and desist order, following regulation violations including not registering as a Swap Execution Facility.[3][4] According to the CTFC, Polymarket offered “substantial cooperation” throughout the investigation which resulted in the company receiving a lower fine.[1]

In May 2022, Polymarket appointed J. Christopher Giancarlo, a former Commissioner of the CFTC, as chairman of its advisory board.[5] In May 2024, it was announced that Polymarket had raised $70 million across two rounds of funding.[6] The rounds included investments from Vitalik Buterin, the co-founder of Ethereum, and Founders Fund, a venture capital firm founded by Peter Thiel.[1]

In June 2023, Mother Jones reported that interest around the company increased after a tweet about the outcome of the Titan submersible went viral;[7] the premise of the bet was whether or not the submersible would be found by a certain date[7] rather than a wager on the fate of the passengers.[8] Polymarket had over 60 markets available at the time of the submersible wager, including the outcome of the Guatemalan presidential election and the likelihood of Twitter suing Meta, and the likelihood that Russia would use nuclear force.[8]

In 2024, the outcome of U.S. elections became the most active market on the platform[6] with over $200 million wagered on the presidential race between Donald Trump and Joe Biden.[1]

References

  1. ^ a b c d Folk, Zachary (14 May 2024). "Peter Thiel Invests In Polymarket Political Betting Platform—But The Future Of Gambling On Elections Remains Unclear". Forbes. Retrieved 19 June 2024.
  2. ^ "A resurgent online betting market is boosted by crypto and current events". NBC News. 2023-07-10. Retrieved 2023-12-13.
  3. ^ "CFTC Fines Polymarket and Issues a Cease and Desist". Yahoo Finance. 2022-01-04. Retrieved 2023-12-13.
  4. ^ "Event-Betting Platform Polymarket to Pay $1.4 Million U.S. Fine". Bloomberg.com. 2022-01-03. Retrieved 2023-12-13.
  5. ^ Natarajan, Sridhar (19 May 2022). "Crypto Betting Service Polymarket Taps Ex-CFTC Head as Chair After Agency Probe". Bloomberg. Retrieved 1 March 2024.
  6. ^ a b Natarajan, Sridhar; Pan, David (14 May 2024). "Peter Thiel's VC Firm Backs Election Betting With Polymarket Investment". Bloomberg. Retrieved 19 June 2024. Polymarket has raised $70 million across two rounds, with the most recent raise led by Founders Fund...
  7. ^ a b Breland, Ali (23 June 2023). "Meet the Internet Gamblers Who Won Big Betting on the Submarine's Fate". Mother Jones. Retrieved 29 February 2024.
  8. ^ a b "A resurgent online betting market is boosted by crypto and current events". NBC News. 2023-07-10. Retrieved 2023-12-13.