Opinion polling for the next Slovenian parliamentary election

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In the run-up to the next Slovenian parliamentary election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Slovenia. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous parliamentary election, held on 24 April 2022, to the present day. The next parliamentary election is scheduled to be held no later than four years since the previous one.[1]

Pollsters

There are three opinion research companies that conduct electoral opinion polling on a regular basis within Slovenia:[citation needed]

  • Mediana, separately conducting electoral public opinion polls for the Slovene daily newspaper Delo, and the Slovene television channel POP TV and its respective multimedia web portal 24ur.com;
  • Ninamedia, jointly published by the Slovene daily newspapers Dnevnik and Večer;
  • Parsifal SC, which conducts opinion polling for the conservative news media enterprise Nova24TV.

Graphical summary

The following graph depicts the evolution of standings of the two main political parties and three other parties in the poll average since last parliamentary elections.

Poll results

For the events during those years, see 2022 in Slovenia and 2023 in Slovenia.

Poll results are listed in the table in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest figure in each survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the case of a tie, no figure is shaded. When available, seat projections for 88 out of 90 seats (without seats reserved for minorities) are displayed below the percentages in a smaller font. 46 seats are required for an absolute majority in the National Assembly. The dates of when the poll was conducted are given when available, otherwise, the date of publication is listed.

Fieldwork date Polling firm Publisher(s) Sample size GS SDS NSi SD Levica SLS K Res. NP–DD PPS ND SNS Vesna Others None Und. Abst. Lead Source
8–10 Apr 2024 Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 700 15.4
24 		22.3
35 		6.6
11 		6.4
10 		4.9
8 		– – – – – – – – 2.0 – 37.0 5.4 6.9 [2]
2–4 Apr 2024 Mediana Delo 714 15.0 23.0 5.3 5.4 2.9 1.6 0.6 2.8 0.6 2.1 0.2 2.3 2.0 1.7 7.7 24.0 1.0 8.0 [3]
19–21 Mar 2024 Mediana POPTV 712 14.3 21.5 4.6 5.6 2.8 2.2 0.8 1.9 0.8 3.1 0.6 1.8 1.1 1.2 11.8 22.2 2.8 7.2 [4]
11–14 Mar 2024 Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 700 14.1
24 		23.1
39 		6.1
10 		4.1
7 		4.8
8 		– – – – – – – – 3.3 – 36.5 8.0 9.0 [5]
5–7 Mar 2024 Mediana Delo 723 15.0 22.9 4.9 4.4 4.4 1.0 0.5 2.7 0.7 3.2 0.9 2.9 1.7 2.0 8.7 19.9 2.7 7.9 [6][7]
20–22 Feb 2024 Mediana POPTV 724 15.1 21.8 4.6 3.0 4.8 1.3 0.1 2.8 0.3 2.9 0.3 1.7 2.4 1.7 9.9 23.4 2.0 6.7 [8]
12–14 Feb 2024 Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 700 10.7
18 		24.0
42 		6.3
11 		3.9
7 		5.9
10 		– – – – – – – – 3.1 – 38.4 7.7 13.3 [9]
5–8 Feb 2024 Mediana Delo 720 16.8 23.7 5.1 2.6 5.3 1.3 0.1 2.4 0.1 2.3 0.3 1.9 2.4 1.6 6.5 25.3 1.8 6.9 [10][11]
22–25 Jan 2024 Mediana POPTV 716 13.7 23.4 4.3 8.7 5.2 1.2 0.0 1.4 0.3 2.5 0.2 2.4 1.1 2.1 8.4 22.5 1.8 9.7 [12]
10–11 Jan 2024 Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 700 15.3
23 		22.4
34 		6.4
10 		8.1
12 		6.1
9 		– – – – – – – – 2.0 – 34.4 5.1 7.1 [13]
1–4 Jan 2024 Mediana Delo 715 14.6 21.7 4.6 7.5 4.4 2.9 0.4 1.3 1.1 3.4 0.3 1.6 2.1 1.0 6.3 23.6 1.6 7.1 [14][15]
2024
18–21 Dec 2023 Mediana POPTV 717 15.6 24.9 3.5 6.4 5.0 1.6 0.0 2.1 1.0 2.2 0.8 0.8 1.0 3.2 10.1 19.8 1.4 9.3 [16]
11–14 Dec 2023 Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 700 16.7
25 		22.6
34 		6.1
10 		7.3
11 		5.0
8 		– – – – – – – – 3.4 – 31.1 7.7 5.9 [17]
4–7 Dec 2023 Mediana Delo 732 13.4 20.8 4.5 8.0 4.7 1.8 0.4 2.6 0.7 2.4 0.6 3.3 1.3 2.2 8.8 21.5 1.9 7.4 [18][19]
20–24 Nov 2023 Mediana POPTV 714 13.4 22.1 3.8 8.4 3.9 2.0 0.2 2.0 1.0 1.5 0.4 1.8 0.5 0.5 10.2 25.2 2.3 8.7 [20]
13–15 Nov 2023 Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 700 16.3
25 		22.4
34 		6.4
9 		7.9
12 		5.1
8 		– – – – – – – – 1.3 – 33.0 7.6 6.1 [21]
6–9 Nov 2023 Mediana Delo 705 14.4
22 		22.2
35 		7.2
7 		7.0
10 		4.1
6 		0.7
0 		0.5
0 		2.8
4 		0.5
0 		2.7
4 		1.0
0 		2.2
0 		1.6
0 		0.2 7.4 23.4 1.4 7.8 [22][23][24]
17–19 Oct 2023 Mediana POPTV 716 18.6 23.7 5.3 7.4 3.4 1.4 0.8 2.5 1.0 1.1 0.1 1.2 0.7 0.3 8.0 20.9 3.2 5.1 [25]
9–11 Oct 2023 Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 700 20.3
29 		21.9
31 		7.7
11 		7.0
10 		4.9
7 		– – – – – – – – 2.9 – 30.9 4.6 1.6 [26]
2–5 Oct 2023 Mediana Delo 723 18.8 23.0 7.2 7.0 5.1 1.6 0.1 2.5 0.3 1.9 0.2 1.4 1.1 0.5 5.4 20.1 2.9 4.2 [27][28]
19–21 Sep 2023 Mediana POPTV 715 20.8 21.0 4.5 5.5 5.9 0.8 0.0 2.8 1.1 1.9 0.3 0.8 1.7 0.8 7.9 21.5 2.2 0.2 [29]
11–13 Sep 2023 Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 700 22.6
32 		20.5
29 		8.1
11 		6.7
9 		5.0
7 		– – – – – – – – 1.1 – 29.7 6.4 2.1 [30]
4–7 Sep 2023 Mediana Delo 715 24.3 21.1 5.8 6.7 4.3 1.3 0.9 2.5 0.3 2.0 0.4 1.9 1.3 0.8 5.5 18.6 2.2 3.2 [31][32]
22–24 Aug 2023 Mediana POPTV 715 22.6 22.3 4.1 6.7 3.9 2.0 0.1 2.4 0.1 2.8 0.8 0.5 1.6 1.1 7.7 18.1 2.6 0.3 [33]
16–17 Aug 2023 Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 700 23.7
32 		23.9
32 		6.8
9 		6.6
9 		4.9
6 		– – – – – – – – 1.3 – 28.8 4.0 0.2 [34]
7–10 Aug 2023 Mediana Delo 710 22.0 23.6 4.5 6.6 6.5 0.9 0.0 2.9 0.3 1.7 0.5 0.9 1.0 1.4 6.3 18.5 1.6 1.6 [35][36]
17–20 Jul 2023 Mediana POPTV 716 22.7 23.2 6.2 6.3 4.3 1.3 0.1 2.8 0.4 1.4 0.1 1.1 0.9 1.5 8.8 16.7 2.2 0.5 [37]
10–12 Jul 2023 Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 700 26.0
34 		20.9
28 		6.8
9 		7.6
10 		5.2
7 		– – – – – – – – 2.4 – 24.3 6.9 5.1 [38]
3–6 Jul 2023 Mediana Delo 706 23.0 22.3 4.8 5.6 4.4 1.0 0.8 1.5 0.7 2.2 1.0 1.9 1.9 1.2 9.3 15.2 0.4 0.7 [39][40]
20–22 Jun 2023 Mediana POPTV 719 21.0 21.8 6.3 6.7 6.1 1.6 0.0 1.9 0.7 1.9 0.5 0.7 2.0 0.5 5.8 21.2 1.3 0.8 [41]
12–14 Jun 2023 Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 700 25.1
34 		20.1
27 		6.9
9 		8.9
12 		4.8
6 		– – – – – – – – 2.3 – 25.9 6.0 5.0 [42]
5–8 Jun 2023 Parsifal Nova24TV 725 21.5 20.0 5.9 8.8 6.4 – – – – – – – – 4.7[a] 5.2 12.8 14.8 1.5 [43]
5–8 Jun 2023 Mediana Delo 712 21.8 20.2 4.9 7.0 3.8 1.9 0.2 2.4 0.4 3.3 0.3 1.6 1.5 0.6 7.2 20.0 1.6 1.6 [44]
22–25 May 2023 Mediana POPTV 710 25.6 20.6 5.1 6.1 3.9 1.0 0.7 2.1 1.2 1.4 0.2 0.2 1.2 1.5 8.8 17.8 2.0 5.0 [45]
8–10 May 2023 Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 700 24.8
34 		21.7
29 		6.9
9 		7.0
10 		4.7
6 		– – – – – – – – 3.4 – 27.1 5.1 3.1 [46]
3–4 May 2023 Mediana Delo 716 23.8 20.9 7.1 6.0 5.2 0.8 0.1 2.5 0.6 2.0 0.5 2.3 2.5 0.7 7.0 15.0 0.5 2.9 [47]
17–20 Apr 2023 Mediana POPTV 717 24.4 22.2 5.7 6.6 4.2 3.1 0.0 3.6 0.7 2.1 0.3 1.3 1.4 0.5 7.7 13.3 1.0 2.2 [48]
11–13 Apr 2023 Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 700 25.1
33 		23.1
31 		6.7
9 		7.2
9 		4.5
6 		– – – – – – – – 4.7 – 24.4 4.3 2.0 [49]
3–7 Apr 2023 Mediana Delo 707 23.0 23.3 5.6 6.2 5.1 1.6 0.5 1.6 0.9 1.7 0.9 2.4 1.5 0.4 8.0 14.4 1.7 0.3 [50]
20–23 Mar 2023 Mediana POPTV 721 23.5 22.8 5.1 6.6 5.2 1.4 0.0 2.5 0.0 1.5 0.0 1.6 1.1 0.9 6.1 18.5 2.1 0.7 [51]
13–15 Mar 2023 Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 700 24.9
33 		22.9
31 		6.9
9 		6.6
9 		4.6
6 		– – – – – – – – 1.6 – 26.1 6.6 2.0 [52]
6–9 Mar 2023 Mediana Delo 715 26.8 21.6 6.0 7.2 4.0 1.1 1.2 2.4 1.2 1.7 0.6 1.1 1.0 0.6 6.2 15.1 0.8 5.2 [53]
21–23 Feb 2023 Mediana POPTV 717 26.8 22.2 6.4 5.1 5.0 1.1 0.0 2.7 1.7 1.9 0.9 1.0 1.6 0.6 8.2 12.3 1.7 4.6 [54]
9–12 Feb 2023 Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 700 26.1
34 		20.1
28 		7.1
9 		7.1
9 		6.2
8 		– – – – – – – – 3.2 – 24.8 5.4 6.0 [55]
6–10 Feb 2023 Mediana Delo 706 27.6 19.8 5.8 5.4 6.2 1.8 0.0 3.2 1.0 1.8 0.0 1.4 1.6 1.0 6.1 15.2 – 7.8 [56]
16–19 Jan 2023 Mediana POPTV 715 28.3 20.3 5.5 6.1 3.7 1.5 0.4 1.5 0.9 1.9 1.0 1.0 1.4 1.2 8.7 15.3 0.9 8.0 [57]
9–12 Jan 2023 Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 700 27.8
33 		22.5
27 		9.1
11 		8.3
10 		6.3
7 		– – – – – – – – 2.6 – 18.8 4.6 5.3 [58]
3–5 Jan 2023 Mediana Delo 715 29.1 21.7 5.5 7.1 4.6 0.9 0.8 1.8 1.0 1.6 0.4 1.2 1.6 – 7.6 12.0 3.1 7.4 [59][60]
2023
19–22 Dec 2022 Mediana POPTV 719 29.9 18.6 8.5 6.8 4.9 1.8 0.5 3.1 1.1 1.7 0.9 1.5 1.6 0.5 4.6 11.0 1.9 11.3 [61]
12–14 Dec 2022 Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 700 29.2
35 		21.6
26 		8.9
11 		8.2
10 		5.2
6 		– – – – – – – – 1.7 – 18.7 6.5 7.6 [62]
5–8 Dec 2022 Mediana Delo 718 34.1 18.7 7.2 6.5 3.6 1.3 0.0 3.0 0.3 1.2 0.4 0.8 1.6 0.7 6.0 11.7 0.4 15.4 [63]
21–24 Nov 2022 Mediana POPTV 723 33.6 20.1 6.5 6.5 4.2 2.6 0.1 2.2 1.0 2.0 0.7 2.1 0.8 1.3 4.7 10.4 1.0 13.5 [64]
13 Nov 2022 2022 Slovenian presidential election – second round
7–11 Nov 2022 Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 700 31.3
35 		23.8
26 		9.7
11 		8.3
9 		5.8
7 		– – – – – – – – 2.7 – 14.6 3.8 7.5 [65]
7–9 Nov 2022 Mediana Delo 718 31.0 22.6 7.0 6.0 4.7 1.1 0.6 2.2 1.1 1.5 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.1 4.6 10.0 0.4 8.4 [66]
23 Oct 2022 2022 Slovenian presidential election – first round
17–19 Oct 2022 Mediana POPTV 724 30.0 17.9 7.7 7.4 5.2 0.4 0.2 3.5 1.6 1.1 1.0 1.9 1.2 1.0 4.7 12.2 2.4 12.1 [67]
10–14 Oct 2022 Parsifal Nova24TV 705 24.8 23.7 8.2 6.6 5.0 – – – – – – – – 5.4 4.4 14.2 7.8 1.1 [68]
10–12 Oct 2022 Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 700 29.8
34 		24.1
27 		9.8
11 		8.0
9 		6.0
7 		– – – – – – – – 1.1 – 16.2 5.0 5.7 [69]
3–6 Oct 2022 Mediana Delo 719 29.2 21.9 6.4 5.9 5.7 1.3 1.1 3.2 1.1 1.7 0.5 0.8 0.8 1.0 4.5 11.9 0.2 7.3 [70]
26–28 Sep 2022 Parsifal Planet TV 721 37.4 29.1 9.4 8.6 5.9 0.8 – 3.2 – 2.1 1.0 0.8 – – [b] 8.3 [71]
19–22 Sep 2022 Mediana POPTV 729 30.9 17.9 4.8 5.6 4.4 0.8 0.6 3.6 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.7 1.4 1.3 5.4 15.4 2.3 13.0 [72]
12–15 Sep 2022 Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 700 33.4
37 		23.9
27 		9.0
10 		6.8
8 		4.7
6 		– – – – – – – – 2.0 – 16.8 3.4 9.5 [73]
5–8 Sep 2022 Mediana Delo 723 29.9 21.7 8.1 6.4 4.9 2.0 0.0 2.7 1.5 2.3 0.3 1.8 0.7 1.2 1.4 10.6 4.3 8.2 [74]
30 Aug–2 Sep 2022 Parsifal Nova24TV 703 29.3 22.5 7.3 6.6 3.6 – – – – – – – – 4.9 2.5 12.1 11.1 6.8 [75]
29–31 Aug 2022 Parsifal Planet TV 704 25.9 22.4 4.9 4.4 3.0 0.5 – 2.2 – 2.6 – 1.7 2.0 – 30.4 3.5 [76]
22–25 Aug 2022 Mediana POPTV 721 31.4 23.4 5.5 5.0 5.3 0.8 0.0 3.0 0.7 1.6 0.4 1.3 1.0 1.6 4.5 12.0 2.2 8.0 [77]
8–10 Aug 2022 Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 700 33.8
39 		23.7
28 		8.1
9 		5.3
6 		4.9
6 		– – – – – – – – 1.1 – 19.3 3.8 10.1 [78]
12–14 Jul 2022 Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 700 33.1
40 		22.2
26 		7.9
9 		5.5
7 		5.1
6 		– – – – – – – – 3.6 – 18.4 4.2 10.9 [79]
4–7 Jul 2022 Mediana Delo 716 30.2 18.9 6.8 7.0 4.7 2.7 2.4 1.1 2.4 0.5 0.5 1.3 1.9[c] – 12.7 4.9 11.3 [80]
27 Jun 2022 The List of Marjan Šarec and the Party of Alenka Bratušek merge with the Freedom Movement
Fieldwork date Polling firm Publisher(s) Sample size GS SDS NSi SD Levica LMŠ PoS Res. SAB NP–DD PPS ND SNS Vesna Others None Und. Abst. Lead Source
22–24 Jun 2022 Parsifal Nova24TV 727 30.3 22.6 6.6 6.8 3.7 – – – – – – – – – 5.2 3.2 13.1 8.5 7.7 [81]
20–23 Jun 2022 Mediana POPTV 719 28.4 18.9 6.8 5.8 4.1 2.3 – 3.0 1.9 – – – – 1.8 – 5.4 8.6 4.0 9.5 [82]
14–16 Jun 2022 Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 700 33.1
40 		21.9
26 		6.7
8 		5.8
7 		5.9
7 		3.0
0 		1.8
0 		0.7
0 		1.1
0 		– – – 0.4
0 		0.4
0 		0.8 – 13.5 4.9 11.2 [83]
6–9 Jun 2022 Mediana Delo 714 31.0 21.4 7.1 5.8 4.2 2.3 1.6 2.0 1.9 0.8 1.6 1.7 0.6 0.8 0.4 – 7.0 4.4 9.6 [84]
16–19 May 2022 Parsifal Nova24TV 703 30.4 24.8 8.8 5.6 4.8 4.0 – – 2.0 – – – – – 2.7 3.1 6.9 6.8 8.2 [85]
16–19 May 2022 Mediana POPTV 724 30.6 19.7 4.3 6.9 4.1 2.1 2.9 2.9 1.5 1.9 1.7 1.6 0.9 1.3 2.4[d] 4.6 6.8 – 10.9 [86]
10–12 May 2022 Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 700 38.4
45 		19.9
23 		5.8
7 		6.0
7 		5.5
6 		2.5
0 		1.7
0 		– – – 1.3
0 		– – 1.0
0 		4.6 – 8.8 4.5 18.5 [87]
9 May 2022[e] Mediana Delo — 36.9 25.3 8.5 6.2 5.9 2.9 2.8 1.0 2.7 0.8 0.6 1.0 1.3 1.5 2.7 – – 38.8 11.4 [88][89]
24 April 2022 2022 election results 1,168,542 34.5 23.5 6.9 6.7 4.4 3.7 3.4 2.9 2.6 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.4 5.5 (31.1) 11.0
88 41 27 8 7 5 – – – – – – – – – – – 14
  1. ^ Voice of Slovenian Pensioners – 2.1
  2. ^ Source only provides recalculated data.
  3. ^ Healthy Society Movement – 1.7
  4. ^ Healthy Society Movement – 1.2
  5. ^ Publication date

References

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  54. ^ "Vlada izgublja javno podporo, prvič jo podpira manj kot polovica vprašanih". www.24ur.com (in Slovenian). Retrieved 2023-02-28.
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  57. ^ "Vladi najnižja podpora od lanskih volitev, najbolj priljubljen politik Logar". www.24ur.com (in Slovenian). Retrieved 2023-02-01.
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  60. ^ "Anketa: Ta mesec precejšni padec podpore vladi in Gibanju Svoboda". rtvslo.si (in Slovenian). Retrieved 2023-01-14.
  61. ^ "Gibanje Svoboda še vedno močno vodi, vladi podpora nekoliko padla". www.24ur.com (in Slovenian). Retrieved 2022-12-26.
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  63. ^ "Anketa: Prva vladna kriza se še ne odraža v javnem mnenju". rtvslo.si (in Slovenian). Retrieved 2022-12-11.
  64. ^ "Golobovi vladi rekordna podpora, za Pahorjem najbolj priljubljen Logar". www.24ur.com (in Slovenian). Retrieved 2022-12-05.
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  66. ^ "Golob zdrsnil s prvega mesta, a ima vseeno razloge za dobro voljo". slovenskenovice.si (in Slovenian). Retrieved 2022-11-16.
  67. ^ "Vlada oktobra še vedno z več kot 50-odstotno podporo". www.24ur.com (in Slovenian). Retrieved 2022-10-25.
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  71. ^ "Na vrhu brez sprememb, Tonin drži tretje mesto #video". siol.net (in Slovenian). Retrieved 2023-03-13.
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  73. ^ "Vox populi: Na predsedniških volitvah bi največ glasov dobil Logar". rtvslo.si (in Slovenian). Retrieved 2022-09-20.
  74. ^ "Ura resnice: to si po prvih 100 dneh Golobove vlade mislijo Slovenci". slovenskenovice.si (in Slovenian). Retrieved 2022-09-27.
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  80. ^ "Hud padec Roberta Goloba: to kažejo nove ankete" [Severe fall of Robert Golob: this is what new polls show]. www.slovenskenovice.si (in Slovenian). Retrieved 2022-07-11.
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  86. ^ "Vsak tretji bi glasoval za Golobovo Gibanje Svoboda" [Each third voter would vote for Golob's Freedom Movement]. www.24ur.com (in Slovenian). Retrieved 2022-05-26.
  87. ^ "Prvič po 20 letih je neka politična stranka po volitvah v anketah izrazito okrepila svoj položaj" [For the first time after 20 years has a political party reinforced its position after an election]. Mladina.si (in Slovenian). Retrieved 2022-05-26.
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  89. ^ "Anketa Dela: Še dodatno pridobile tri najuspešnejše stranke" [Delo poll: The three most successful parties have gained even more]. www.siol.net (in Slovenian). Retrieved 26 May 2022.
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