Canadian federal election results on Vancouver Island

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Electoral history
YearResults
2021
2019
2015
2011
2008
2006
2004
2000
1997
1993
1988
1984
1980
1979
1974
1972
1968
1965
1963
1962
1958
1957
1953
1949
1945
1940
1935
1930
1926
1925

This page shows results of Canadian federal elections on Vancouver Island.

Regional profile

Like most of British Columbia outside of Greater Vancouver, Vancouver Island tends to be a battleground between the Conservatives and the New Democratic Party (NDP). This is as true now, as has been in the past, except between 1988 and 2004. In 1988, the NDP swept the island in a wave of popular support that saw the party win the most seats in its history. This was wiped out in 1993 however, when many NDP voters switched to the Reform Party which won every seat except Victoria, which was picked up by the Liberals for the first time since 1968. This arrangement continued until the resurgence of the NDP in 2004, which led to it picking up Nanaimo—Cowichan, while the Liberals benefited by the seat switching of Keith Martin in Esquimalt—Juan de Fuca, whose personal popularity allowed him to be re-elected as a Liberal.

Since winning their first seat in the region in seventeen years in 2004, the NDP won two more seats here in 2006 picking up Victoria from the Liberals and Vancouver Island North from the Tories. The Tories won Vancouver Island North back in 2008. In 2011, the NDP picked up Esquimalt—Juan de Fuca from the Liberals while Green Party leader Elizabeth May defeated Tory cabinet member Gary Lunn in Saanich—Gulf Islands to win her party's first elected parliamentary seat in history. The Liberals failed to cross the 15 percent mark in any Vancouver Island-based riding. The island swung hard to the NDP in 2015; May was the only non-NDP MP elected here. In 2019, the Greens were able to pick up Nanaimo-Ladysmith, as well as win over 25% of the vote in Victoria and Esquimalt-Saanich Sooke. The Island is now a 3 way race between the NDP, the Conservatives, and the Greens.

Votes by party throughout time

Election Liberal Conservative New Democratic Green PC Reform /
Alliance 		Others
1984 33,829
11.5% 		— 125,184
42.5% 		2,543
0.9% 		129,186
43.9% 		— 3,613
1.2%
1988 49,742
15.7% 		— 138,695
43.9% 		3,012
1.0% 		94,076
29.8% 		26,695
8.4% 		3,994
1.3%
1993 85,732
25.6% 		— 64,369
19.2% 		3,401
1.0% 		32,638
9.7% 		124,229
37.1% 		24,526
7.3%
1997 79,350
26.1% 		— 65,325
21.5% 		8,670
2.9% 		16,319
5.4% 		130,561
42.9% 		3,844
1.3%
2000 88,094
28.0% 		— 40,367
12.8% 		12,291
3.9% 		25,512
8.1% 		140,877
44.8% 		7,486
2.4%
2004 89,248
25.7% 		108,848
31.4% 		111,322
32.1% 		35,182
10.1% 		Merged into
Conservative Party 		2,241
0.6%
2006 83,579
22.7% 		124,640
33.9% 		132,333
36.0% 		24,175
6.6% 		3,112
0.8%
2008 67,821
18.7% 		142,006
39.3% 		113,924
31.5% 		35,755
9.9% 		2,251
0.6%
2011 30,125
7.9% 		146,783
38.4% 		146,878
38.5% 		56,751
14.9% 		1,395
0.4%
2015 100,557
21.3% 		99,934
21.2% 		157,187
33.3% 		111,988
23.8% 		1,854
0.4%
2019 76,739
15.9% 		116,262
24.1% 		150,437
31.2% 		130,021
27.0% 		8,652
1.8%
2021 81,548
17.8% 		118,160
25.7% 		170,555
37.0% 		66,819
14.6% 		22,040
4.8%

2021

Main article: 2021 Canadian federal election
Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal Conservative NDP Green PPC Other
Courtenay—Alberni Susan Farlinger
9,276
13.39% 		Mary Lee
22,181
32.03% 		Gord Johns
30,612
44.21% 		Susanne Lawson
3,590
5.18% 		Robert Eppich
3,467
5.01% 		Barbara Biley (M-L)
124
0.18% 		Gord Johns
Cowichan—Malahat—Langford Blair Herbert
10,320
16.37% 		Alana DeLong
17,870
28.35% 		Alistair MacGregor
26,968
42.78% 		Lia Versaevel
3,922
6.22% 		Mark Hecht
3,952
6.27% 		Alistair MacGregor
Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke Doug Kobayashi
14,466
22.07% 		Laura Anne Frost
13,885
21.18% 		Randall Garrison
28,056
42.81% 		Harley Gordon
5,891
8.99% 		Rob Anderson
2,995
4.57% 		Tyson Riel Strandlund (Comm.)
249
0.38% 		Randall Garrison
Nanaimo—Ladysmith Michelle Corfield
9,314
13.54% 		Tamara Kronis
18,627
27.09% 		Lisa Marie Barron
19,826
28.83% 		Paul Manly
17,640
25.65% 		Stephen Welton
3,358
4.88% 		Paul Manly
North Island—Powell River Jennifer Grenz
7,922
13.15% 		Shelley Downey
21,670
35.96% 		Rachel Blaney
23,833
39.55% 		Jessica Wegg
3,656
6.07% 		Paul Macknight
2,795
4.64% 		Stacey Gastis (Mav.)
310 0.51% 		Rachel Blaney
Carla Neal (M-L)
77 0.13%
Saanich—Gulf Islands Sherri Moore-Arbour
12,056
18.40% 		David Busch
14,775
22.55% 		Sabina Singh
11,959
18.25% 		Elizabeth May
24,648
37.62% 		David Hilderman
1,943
2.97% 		Dock Currie (Comm.)
141
0.22% 		Elizabeth May
Victoria Nikki Macdonald
18,194
27.26% 		Hannah Hodson
9,152
13.71% 		Laurel Collins
29,301
43.90% 		Nick Loughton
7,472
11.19% 		John Randal Phipps
2,065
3.09% 		Jordan Reichert (Animal)
273 0.41% 		Laurel Collins
Janis Zroback (Comm.)
291 0.44%

2019

Main article: 2019 Canadian federal election
Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal Conservative NDP Green PPC Other
Courtenay—Alberni Jonah Baden Gowans
8,620
11.93% 		Byron Horner
23,936
33.12% 		Gord Johns
29,790
41.21% 		Sean Wood
9,762
13.51% 		Barbara Biley (M-L)
172
0.24% 		Gord Johns
Cowichan—Malahat—Langford Blair Herbert
10,301
15.79% 		Alana DeLong
16,959
26.00% 		Alistair MacGregor
23,519
36.06% 		Lydia Hwitsum
13,181
20.21% 		Rhonda Chen
1,066
1.63% 		Robin Morton Stanbridge (CHP)
202
0.31% 		Alistair MacGregor
Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke Jamie Hammond
12,554
17.90% 		Randall Pewarchuk
13,409
19.12% 		Randall Garrison
23,887
34.06% 		David Merner
18,506
26.39% 		Jeremy Gustafson
1,089
1.55% 		Fidelia Godron (Ind.)
99
0.14%
Louis Lesosky (Ind.)
100
0.14%
Philip Ney (Ind.)
83
0.12%
Josh Steffler (Libert.)
287
0.41%
Tyson Strandlund (Comm.)
111
0.16% 		Randall Garrison
Nanaimo—Ladysmith Michelle Corfield
9,735
13.55% 		John Hirst
18,634
25.93% 		Bob Chamberlin
16,985
23.63% 		Paul Manly
24,844
34.57% 		Jennifer Clarke
1,049
1.46% 		James Chumsa (Comm.)
104
0.14%
Brian Marlatt (PC)
207
0.29%
Geoff Stoneman (Ind.)
235
0.33%
Echo White (Ind.)
71
0.10% 		Paul Manly
North Island—Powell River Peter Schwarzhoff
8,251
13.11% 		Shelley Downey
20,502
32.59% 		Rachel Blaney
23,834
37.88% 		Mark de Bruijn
8,891
14.13% 		Brian Rundle
1,102
1.75% 		Carla Neal (M-L)
48
0.08%
Glen Staples (Ind.)
287
0.46% 		Rachel Blaney
Saanich—Gulf Islands Ryan Windsor
11,326
16.62% 		David Busch
13,784
20.23% 		Sabina Singh
8,657
12.70% 		Elizabeth May
33,454
49.09% 		Ron Broda
929
1.36% 		Elizabeth May
Victoria Nikki Macdonald
15,952
22.30% 		Richard Caron
9,038
12.63% 		Laurel Collins
23,765
33.21% 		Racelle Kooy
21,383
29.89% 		Alyson Culbert
920
1.29% 		Robert Duncan (Comm.)
113
0.16%
Jordan Reichert (Animal)
221
0.31%
Keith Rosenberg (VCP)
46
0.06%
David Shebib (Ind.)
111
0.16% 		Murray Rankin†

2015

Main article: 2015 Canadian federal election
edit
Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Conservative NDP Liberal Green Other
Courtenay—Alberni John Duncan
19,714
28.22% 		Gord Johns
26,582
38.06% 		Carrie Powell-Davidson
15,212
21.78% 		Glenn Sollitt
8,201
11.74% 		Barbara Biley (M-L)
140
0.20% 		James Lunney†
Nanaimo—Alberni
Cowichan—Malahat—Langford Martin Barker
14,091
22.81% 		Alistair MacGregor
22,200
35.94% 		Luke Krayenhoff
14,685
23.77% 		Fran Hunt-Jinnouchi
10,462
16.93% 		Alastair Haythornthwaite (M-L)
340
0.55% 		Jean Crowder†
Nanaimo—Cowichan
Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke Shari Lukens
11,912
17.50% 		Randall Garrison
23,836
35.01% 		David Merner
18,622
27.35% 		Frances Litman
13,575
19.94% 		Tyson Strandlund (Comm.)
136
0.20% 		Randall Garrison
Esquimalt—Juan de Fuca
Nanaimo—Ladysmith Mark Allen MacDonald
16,637
23.35% 		Sheila Malcolmson
23,651
33.20% 		Tim Tessier
16,753
23.52% 		Paul Manly
14,074
19.76% 		Jack East (M-L)
126
0.18% 		New District
North Island—Powell River Laura Smith
15,840
26.17% 		Rachel Blaney
24,340
40.21% 		Peter Schwarzhoff
15,416
25.47% 		Brenda Sayers
4,940
8.16% 		John Duncan‡
Vancouver Island North
Saanich—Gulf Islands Robert Boyd
13,260
19.46% 		Alicia Cormier
6,181
9.07% 		Tim Kane
11,380
16.70% 		Elizabeth May
37,070
54.40% 		Meghan Jess Porter (Libert.)
249
0.37% 		Elizabeth May
Victoria John Rizzuti
8,480
11.79% 		Murray Rankin
30,397
42.28% 		Cheryl Thomas
8,489
11.81%[a] 		Jo-Ann Roberts
23,666
32.92% 		Saul Andersen (Ind.)
124 0.17% 		Murray Rankin
Art Lowe (Libert.)
539 0.75%
Jordan Reichert (Animal All.)
200 0.28%
  1. ^ Cheryl Thomas publicly withdrew from the election 30 September;[1] her name remained on the ballot as a Liberal candidate because no change could be made to the list of candidates after 28 September.[2]

2011

Main article: 2011 Canadian federal election
edit
Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Conservative Liberal NDP Green Other
Esquimalt—Juan de Fuca Troy DeSouza
25,792
40.24% 		Lillian Szpak
6,439
10.05% 		Randall C. Garrison
26,198
40.87% 		Shaunna Salsman
5,341
8.33% 		Louis James Lesosky (Ind.)
181 0.28% 		Keith Martin†
Christopher Robert Porter (CAP)
145 0.23%
Nanaimo—Alberni James Lunney
30,469
46.42% 		Renée Amber Miller
4,984
7.59% 		Zenaida Maartman
25,165
38.34% 		Myron Jespersen
4,482
6.83% 		Barbara Biley (M-L)
81 0.12% 		James Lunney
Jesse Schroeder (Pirate)
363 0.55%
Frank Wagner (CHP)
94 0.14%
Nanaimo—Cowichan John Koury
24,497
38.31% 		Brian Fillmore
3,007
4.70% 		Jean Crowder
31,272
48.90% 		Anne Marie Benoit
5,005
7.83% 		Jack East (M-L)
170
0.27% 		Jean Crowder
Saanich—Gulf Islands Gary Lunn
24,544
35.66% 		Renée Hetherington
4,208
6.11% 		Edith Loring-Kuhanga
8,185
11.89% 		Elizabeth May
31,890
46.33% 		Gary Lunn
Vancouver Island North John Duncan
27,206
46.11% 		Mike Holland
3,039
5.15% 		Ronna-Rae Leonard
25,379
43.01% 		Sue Moen
3,018
5.11% 		Jason Draper (Ind.)
304 0.52% 		John Duncan
Frank Martin (M-L)
57 0.10%
Victoria Patrick Hunt
14,275
23.63% 		Christopher Causton
8,448
13.98% 		Denise Savoie
30,679
50.78% 		Jared Giesbrecht
7,015
11.61% 		Denise Savoie

2008

Main article: 2008 Canadian federal election
edit
Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Conservative Liberal NDP Green Other
Esquimalt—
Juan de Fuca 		Troy DeSouza
19,974
34.07% 		Keith Martin
20,042
34.18% 		Jennifer Burgis
13,322
22.72% 		Brian G. Gordon
4,854
8.28% 		Philip G. Ney (Ind.)
309 0.53% 		Keith Martin
Brad Rhodes (CAP)
130 0.22%
Nanaimo—Alberni James Lunney
28,930
46.68% 		Richard Pesik
5,578
9.00% 		Zeni Maartman
19,680
31.75% 		John Fryer
7,457
12.03% 		Barbara Biley (M-L)
155 0.25% 		James Lunney
Frank Wagner (CHP)
176 0.28%
Nanaimo—Cowichan Reed Elley
22,844
37.59% 		Brian Scott
4,483
7.38% 		Jean Crowder
27,454
45.17% 		Christina Knighton
5,816
9.57% 		Jack East (M-L)
182
0.30% 		Jean Crowder
Saanich—
Gulf Islands 		Gary Lunn
27,991
43.42% 		Briony Penn
25,366
39.35% 		Julian West1
3,667
5.69% 		Andrew Lewis
6,742
10.46% 		Jeremy Arney (CAP)
139 0.22% 		Gary Lunn
Dale P. Leier (Libert.)
246 0.38%
Dan Moreau (CHP)
114 0.18%
Patricia O'Brien (WBP)
195 0.30%
Vancouver Island North John Duncan
25,963
45.78% 		Geoff Fleischer
2,380
4.20% 		Catherine Bell
23,466
41.38% 		Philip Stone
4,544
8.01% 		Jason Draper (Ind.)
362
0.64% 		Catherine Bell
Victoria Jack McClintock
16,337
27.56% 		Anne Park Shannon
10,006
16.88% 		Denise Savoie
26,443
44.61% 		Adam Saab
6,252
10.55% 		John Cooper (CHP)
237
0.40% 		Denise Savoie
  1. Julian West stepped down, however his name remained on the ballot.

2006

Main article: 2006 Canadian federal election
edit
Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal Conservative NDP Green Canadian Action Other
Esquimalt—Juan de Fuca Keith Martin
20,761
34.93% 		Troy DeSouza
16,327
27.47% 		Randall Garrison
18,595
31.29% 		Mike Robinson
3,385
5.70% 		David Piney
89
0.15% 		Douglas Christie (WBP)
272
0.46% 		Keith Martin
Nanaimo—Alberni Jim Stewart
12,023
19.05% 		James Lunney
26,102
41.36% 		Manjeet Uppal
20,335
32.23% 		David Wright
3,379
5.35% 		Jen Fisher-Bradley
113
0.18% 		Barbara Biley (M-L)
94 0.15% 		James Lunney
R. L. Dusty Miller (Ind.)
920 1.46%
Frank Wagner (CHP)
136 0.22%
Nanaimo—Cowichan Brian Scott
9,352
15.32% 		Norm Sowden
19,615
32.13% 		Jean Crowder
28,558
46.77% 		Harold Henn
3,107
5.09% 		Jeff Warr
277
0.45% 		Jack East (M-L)
148
0.24% 		Jean Crowder
Saanich—Gulf Islands Sheila Orr
17,144
26.09% 		Gary Vincent Lunn
24,416
37.15% 		Jennifer Burgis
17,445
26.54% 		Andrew Lewis
6,533
9.94% 		Patricia O'Brien (WBP)
183
0.28% 		Gary Lunn
Vancouver Island North Jim Mitchell
7,239
12.83% 		John Duncan
22,936
40.64% 		Catherine Bell
23,552
41.73% 		Michael Mascall
2,715
4.81% 		John Duncan
Victoria David Mulroney
17,056
27.52% 		Robin Baird
15,249
24.60% 		Denise Savoie
23,839
38.46% 		Ariel Lade
5,036
8.13% 		Saul Andersen (Ind.)
282 0.45% 		David Anderson†
Bruce Burnett (WBP)
208 0.34%
Fred Mallach (Mar.)
311 0.50%

2004

Main article: 2004 Canadian federal election
edit
Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal Conservative NDP Green Canadian Action Other
Esquimalt—Juan de Fuca Keith Martin
19,389
35.30% 		John Koury
13,271
24.16% 		Randall Garrison
16,821
30.62% 		Jane Sterk
5,078
9.24% 		Shawn W. Giles
141
0.26% 		Jen Fisher-Bradley (Ind.)
229
0.42% 		Keith Martin1
Nanaimo—Alberni Hira Chopra
11,770
19.86% 		James D Lunney
23,158
39.07% 		Scott Fraser
19,152
32.31% 		David Wright
4,357
7.35% 		Diana E. Lifton
201
0.34% 		Barbara Biley (M-L)
80 0.13% 		James Lunney
Michael Mann (Mar.)
560 0.94%
Nanaimo—Cowichan Lloyd Macilquham
9,257
16.03% 		Dave Quist
18,928
32.78% 		Jean Crowder
25,243
43.71% 		Harold Henn
3,822
6.62% 		Jeffrey Ian Warr
270
0.47% 		Brunie Brunie (Ind.)
229
0.40% 		Reed Elley†
Saanich—Gulf Islands David Mulroney
17,082
26.79% 		Gary Lunn
22,050
34.58% 		Jennifer Burgis
13,763
21.58% 		Andrew Lewis
10,662
16.72% 		Mary Moreau (Ind.)
214
0.34% 		Gary Lunn
Vancouver Island North Noor Ahmed
11,352
21.46% 		John Duncan
18,733
35.41% 		Catherine Bell
18,250
34.50% 		Pam Munroe
4,456
8.42% 		Jack East (M-L)
111
0.21% 		John Duncan
Victoria David Anderson
20,398
35.04% 		Logan Wenham
12,708
21.83% 		David Turner
18,093
31.08% 		Ariel Lade
6,807
11.69% 		Derek J. Skinner
206
0.35% 		David Anderson

1 Martin formerly Conservative, became Independent, ran for re-election as Liberal


Maps

2000

Main article: 2000 Canadian federal election
edit
Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal Canadian Alliance NDP PC Green Other
Esquimalt—Juan de Fuca Alan Thompson
11,536 		Keith Martin
23,984 		Carol E. Harris
6,468 		John Vukovic
3,857 		Casey Brennan
2,056 		Paul E. Tessier (NL)
324 		Keith Martin
Nanaimo—Alberni Hira Chopra
10,877 		James Lunney
26,516 		Bill Holdom
7,635 		Bill McCullough
5,340 		Donald Lavallee (Mar.)
1,125
Brunie Brunie (Ind)
830
Marty Howe (NL)
235 		James Lunney
Nanaimo—Cowichan Marshall Cooper
10,857 		Reed Elley
23,641 		Garth Mirau
8,599 		Cynthia-Mary Hemsworth
3,640 		Norm Abbey
1,196 		Doug Catley (CAP)
1,500
Meaghan Walker-Williams (Mar.)
1,262 		Reed Elley
Saanich—Gulf Islands Karen Knott
19,002 		Gary Lunn
25,392 		Pat O'Neill
4,721 		Don Page
6,049 		Wally Du Temple
3,243 		Kathleen Lapeyrouse (NL)
217
Dan Moreau (Ind)
123
Charley Stimac (Com.)
88 		Gary Lunn
Vancouver Island North Daniel P. Smith
12,092 		John Duncan
24,844 		Alex Turner
5,701 		David R. Tingley
2,994 		Pam Munroe
2,532 		John Krell (Ind)
216
Nancy More (NL)
205
Jack East (M-L)
92 		John Duncan
Victoria David Anderson
23,730 		Bruce Hallsor
16,502 		David Turner
7,243 		Brian Burchill
3,629 		Joan Russow
3,264 		Chuck Beyer (Mar)
863
Cal Danyluk (NL)
138
Lorenzo A. Bouchard (Ind)
101
Scott Rushton (Comm)
92
Mary Moreau (Ind)
75 		David Anderson


Notes

References

  1. ^ Harnett, Cindy E. (30 September 2015). "Liberal candidate withdraws from Victoria race over Facebook posts". The Vancouver Sun. Postmedia Network Inc. Retrieved 1 October 2015.
  2. ^ Harnett, Cindy E. (2 October 2015). "Liberal's name staying on Victoria ballot despite withdrawal". Times Colonist (Victoria, BC). Glacier Community Media. Retrieved 8 October 2015.
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