2024 Welsh Labour leadership election

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2024 Welsh Labour leadership election
← 2018 16 February – 16 March 2024
 
Candidate Vaughan Gething Jeremy Miles
Percentage 51.7% 48.3%
Leader before election

Mark Drakeford

 Elected Leader

Vaughan Gething

The 2024 Welsh Labour leadership election took place between February and March 2024 to select Mark Drakeford's successor as leader of Welsh Labour, who in turn would become First Minister of Wales. Drakeford announced his resignation and retirement on 13 December 2023, five years after his election. Voting began in February 2024 with the new leader announced on 16 March 2024. Vaughan Gething won the election with 51.7% of the vote. The next scheduled Senedd election is due on or before 7 May 2026.

Gething is the first black First Minister of Wales and the first black leader of any country in Europe.[1]

Gething's victory means that three of the four governments in the UK will have a non-white leader.[2]

Background

In his leadership election in 2018, and several times subsequently, Drakeford said he would leave the role midway through the Senedd term, sometimes specifically saying he expected to leave in 2024.[3][4][5]

On 9 August 2023, Drakeford said he will leave the Welsh parliament at the next election, but refused to be drawn on at what point before 2026 he would quit as first minister.[6] In October 2023 Drakeford confirmed he would stand down "...some time in the next calendar year" but again refused to be drawn on exactly when.[7]

On 13 December 2023, Drakeford announced his intention to resign as Welsh Labour Leader by March 2024, with the leadership election to begin shortly after his December announcement.[8] He denied that the timing was related to criticism he and his government had received for its expansion of 20 mph zones as a default for residential areas.[9]

Timeline

The timeline for the election was discussed by the Welsh Executive Committee on 13 December 2023 and announced on 16 December.[10][11] Nominations were open from 18 December 2023 and ended for MSs on 21 December and for party affiliates and Constituency Labour Parties (CLPs) on 29 January 2024.[11] The final candidates were confirmed later that day, with hustings beginning from 30 January and lasting until 21 February.[12] Voting was open from 16 February until 14 March, with the winning candidate announced on 16 March.[12][11]

Candidates were required to be serving MS[11] and required 20% of current Labour MSs (six including themselves) to nominate them.[13] Alternately, a candidate could be nominated with three MSs in addition to three party affiliates including two trade unions, or by three MSs in addition to 20% of CLPs in Wales.[9]

Campaign

The race to succeed Mark Drakeford as First Minister of Wales has been overshadowed by controversy surrounding campaign finance.[14] The Institute of Welsh Affairs reported that campaign issues would include the Welsh NHS, the climate, constitutional and democratic reform, economic issues, and the party's relationship to the wider UK Labour Party.[15]

Various candidates were expected to put themselves forward in the election. Media speculation considered the economy minister Vaughan Gething, the education minister Jeremy Miles, the health minister Eluned Morgan, and deputy minister for social partnership Hannah Blythyn, to be the most likely candidates to stand. Morgan ruled out standing on 15 December, saying she wanted to focus on her ministerial work.[16] Blythyn ruled out standing on 15 December thanking the support that was extended to her from the Labour movement, before backing Miles.[17] Gething announced his candidacy on 14 December. Gething has served as an MS for Cardiff South and Penarth since 2011, as health minister from 2016 to 2021 and as economy minister since 2021. He previously stood for the leadership of Welsh Labour in 2018 against Drakeford. Gething would be the first black leader of a country in Europe.[18] Miles announced his candidacy on 18 December, with the support of more than half of Labour MSs.[19][20] Miles has served as the MS for Neath since 2016, as counsel general from 2017 and Brexit minister from 2018,[21] both to 2021 and as education and Welsh language minister since 2021.[22]

On the economy, both candidates propose investing in sustainable industry to create jobs and growth.[23] Gething said he would create a "fair work fund" to support "better working practices".[24] Miles promised to establish an economic council to advise the Welsh Government and provide "financial incentives for recent graduates to stay in" Wales.[24][25]

On healthcare, both candidates supported the establishment of a national care service.[23] Gething said he would maintain NHS spending in Wales to ensure it was the same or higher per person as in England and would consult patients, staff and trade unions about how to improve performance.[26] He said he would "establish a women's health plan".[24] Miles said he would increase Welsh government spending on health and education, with a focus on reducing NHS waiting times including by starting "dedicated orthopaedic centres for knee and hip replacements".[27] Gething said that specialist centres described by Miles were already being opened.[23] Miles pledged to improve accountability and "fast-track reform and rebuild trust" in Betsi Cadwaladr University Health Board.[24]

On education, Miles said he would increase Welsh government spending and provide "free Welsh lessons for parents whose children attend Welsh-medium school".[24] Plaid Cymru and the Conservatives criticised him for pledging to increase the education budget he cut as the minister responsible.[25] Gething said he wanted to increase provision of free childcare.[28]

On housing and the environment, both candidates proposed the establishment of an "environmental governance body".[24] Gething promised a housing retrofitting programme to reduce carbon emissions while Miles proposed a new rent-to-own housing scheme.[24] Miles expressed support for a Welsh government policy that would provide a subsidy to farmers who plant trees on 10% of their land and set aside 10% as habitats for wildlife, while Gething suggested that the requirements could be relaxed.[29]

Miles said he would immediately begin a review of the implementation of the expansion of 20 mph zones, but would not reverse the policy overall.[27] Gething said that the policy had not been communicated well but that he would not reverse it.[29] He said that public consultation would be part of the review of the policy.[30]

Miles also wanted powers over "crime, justice and benefits" to be devolved to Wales and promised to phase out greyhound racing and proposed a review of dog licences.[24][23][27]

On 21 February 2024, it was revealed that Gething took £200,000 for his campaign from a twice convicted businessman.[31] On 12 March, it was shown that Gething had lobbied regulators in support of the businessman's company, which has been prosecuted for waste crimes.[32] After the election, Gething has refused to return the £200,000 donation.[33]

Candidates

Declared

Candidate Political office Campaign Date declared Nominations Ref.

Vaughan Gething 		Health and social services minister (2016–2021)
Economy minister (2021–present)
MS for Cardiff South and Penarth (2011–present)
Website 		14 December 2023 11 / 30
36.7%
Nominations
 [37]

Jeremy Miles 		European transition minister (2018–2021)
Counsel General (2017–2021)
Education and Welsh language minister (2021–present)
MS for Neath (2016–present)
Website 		18 December 2023 17 / 30
56.7%
Nominations
 [20]

Mark Drakeford and Jane Hutt (Chief Whip) were not supporting any candidate due to their positions.[20]

Declined

The following MSs said they did not seek election:

Nominations, supporting nominations and endorsements

Candidates required nominations by at least six MSs, including themselves, or at least three MSs and three party affiliates including two trades unions, or at least three MSs and at least 20% of Constituency Labour Parties (CLPs). They could receive official supporting nominations from MPs, council leaders and peers. Other notable figures and organisations that endorsed leadership candidates with no bearing on nomination are listed below.

Vaughan Gething

Nominations

Gething was nominated by nine affiliated groups including six trades unions.[45]

Gething was nominated by fourteen Constituency Labour Parties.[45]

Supporting nominations

Gething received supporting nominations from eleven MPs.

Gething received supporting nominations from three peers.

Gething received supporting nominations from ten local government group leaders.[45]

Endorsements

Jeremy Miles

Nominations

Miles was nominated by eight affiliated groups including three trades unions.[49]

Miles was nominated by fifteen Constituency Labour Parties.[49]

Supporting nominations

Miles received a supporting nomination from one MP.[49]

Miles received supporting nominations from four peers.[49]

Miles received supporting nominations from six local government group leaders.[49]

Endorsements

Debates

No. Date and time Location Programme Broadcaster Presenter(s) Candidates Ref.
 P  Participant    N  No debate Gething Miles
1 21 Feb 2024,
9:00 pm 		Cardiff BBC Wales Live: Welsh Labour Leadership Debate BBC One Wales Bethan Rhys Roberts P P [52][53]

Opinion polling

Welsh public

Dates
conducted 		Pollster Client Sample
size 		Jeremy
Miles 		Vaughan
Gething 		Mick
Antoniw 		Hannah
Blythyn 		Eluned
Morgan 		Ken
Skates 		Don't
Know 		Other
18 February 2024 Redfield and Wilton N/A 874 11% 27% – – – – 38% 23%
24 Jan – 6 Feb 2024 More In Common ITV Wales 1,000 17% 20% – – – – 62% –
24 – 26 January 2024 Redfield and Wilton N/A 1,100 10% 27% – – – – 40% 24%
13 December 2023 Mark Drakeford announces his intention to resign as First Minister of Wales
10 – 11 December 2023 Redfield and Wilton WalesOnline 1,086 6% 16% – – 13% – 46% 19%
4 – 7 December 2023 YouGov ITV Wales / Cardiff University[54] 1,004 3% 11% 1% 1% 3% 1% 72% 8%

Results

Candidate Nominations Percentage
Vaughan Gething 11 / 30
36.7%
51.7% (members: 50.7%; affiliated supporters: 52.7%)
Jeremy Miles 17 / 30
56.7%
48.3% (members: 49.3%; affiliated supporters: 47.3%)

Source: BBC News[55][56]

References

  1. ^ Morris, Steven (16 March 2024). "Vaughan Gething to become Welsh first minister after Labour leadership win". The Guardian. Retrieved 16 March 2024.
  2. ^ [1]
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